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Analyses of current macro and market developments

July 3, 2025

News

The clock is ticking on EU-US trade negotiations

  This article was written on July 1 The July 9 deadline by which US trading partners must have reached a trade deal with the US to avoid the “reciprocal” tariffs announced on “Liberation Day” is on the doorstep. Most of the 90-day pause passed...

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June 24, 2025

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After the shipping surge: What’s next for global trade?

As the world grappled with the threat of tariffs from the United States, global trade experienced a dramatic yet short-lived boom. Now, as the dust settles, businesses, economists and policymakers are left asking: what comes next? When President Trump took office on January 20, he...

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June 11, 2025

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2025 Midyear Outlook: Going Deeper

A choppy start to 2025 When we published our 2025 Outlook, Tides of Change, we anticipated a year defined by turbulence—and indeed, the first half has been nothing short of eventful. A global bond sell-off rattled markets at the onset of the year, driven in...

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April 23, 2025

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The Gold Rush

  In recent months, gold has experienced remarkable momentum, solidifying its position as a preferred safe haven asset. Contrary to what the collective imagination suggests, the first large-scale gold rushes date back to the late 17th century in Brazil, in the Minas Gerais region, at...

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April 7, 2025

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Market Update – 7 April 2025

The market sell-off following the announcement of new trade tariffs continues as investors try to assess Trump’s next move and the impact on the global economy. We do not advocate kneejerk reactions during moments of market turmoil. History has demonstrated that even after the worst...

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